Re
October 20, 2015 Foreign Policy podcast
The
E.R.: ‘We Fail Better’ Should Not Be the Motto of the U.S. Military David Rothkopf, Rosa Brooks, Kori Schake, and
Tom Ricks wrestle with America's recent legacy in the Middle East and what's
broken with the last superpower's armed forces.
In
the podcast, among other things, Tom Ricks said that he disagreed with exit strategy
requirement of the [General Colin] Powell Doctrine. The Powell Doctrine provides that:
Military force used as last
resort
Clear-cut military objective
We can measure that the
military objective has been reached (end state)
Military force should be use
in overwhelming fashion
The Powell Doctrine was subsequently
renounced by the Clinton .
For example, Secretary of Defense Les Aspin concluded that such constraint
would limit the military usefulness in “achieving policy objectives”. It “could
lead to the military becoming like nuclear weapons in the Cold War - important,
but not useful”. Successive administrations concurred.
ISSUE
Isn’t
an exit strategy exactly what is necessary to determine whether a military
objective has been reached, the end state?
Discussion
Von Clausewitz observed
that:
Since war
is not an act of senseless passion but is controlled by its political object,
the value of this object must determine the sacrifices to be made of it in magnitude and also in duration. Once the expenditure of effort exceeds the
value of the political object, the object must be renounced and peace must
follow. Book One, Chapter Two, p. 92.
Sun Tzu illustrates the consequences of
failure:
Victory is
the main object in war. If this is long
delayed, weapons are blunted and morale depressed. When troops attack cities, their strength
will be exhausted. The Art of War, Book
II, Par. 3.
When the
army engages in protracted campaigns the resources of the state will not
suffice. (The Art of War, Book II, Par.
4)
Hence,
what is essential in war is victory, not prolonged operations. And therefore the general who understands war
is the Minister of the people’s fate and arbiter of the nation’s destiny. The Art of War, Book II, Par. 21.
Gulf Conflict. The Powell Doctrine was given full effect
during the 1990-1991 Gulf War; and it was a great success militarily and its
clearly stated and limited political objectives: Iraq
must get out of Kuwait —nothing
more was required of Saddam Hussein.
Politically, some argue that it was a failure because we did not pursue
the Iraqi Army into Iraq
proper; thus allowed Saddam Hussein to survive and requiring our greater effort
at a later date. In responding to the issue, I defer to
Clausewitz:
Modifying
Condition 3: In War the Result is Never
Final
Lastly, even the ultimate outcome of a war is
not always to be regarded as final. The
defeated state often considers the outcome merely as a transitory evil, for
which a remedy may still be found in political conditions at some later
date. It is obvious how this, too, can
slacken tension and reduce the vigor of the effort. Book One, Chapter One, § 9,
p. 80.
The fact
remains that this was a very successful American military operation the likes
of which have not been repeated since—as the podcast discussion clearly
addressed.
Moreover,
we could not formulate an end state (much less an exit strategy) because we did
not, and still do not, understand the complexity of the environment. As a result, the Bush as well as the Obama
administrations have been unable formulate realistic military and political
objectives.
“In both
cases, the Bush [and the Obama] administration showed little regard for the
complex cultural settings, deeply rooted ethnic rivalries generating conflicts
within conflicts, dangerously unsettled regional neighborhoods (especially
involving Pakistan and Iran), and the unresolved territorial disputes, al of
which severely complicated US actions in Afghanistan and Iraq and ignited wider
regional anti-American passions.” (Id. )
CONCLUSION
The Powell
Doctrine needs to be reexamined in light of our largely unsuccessful
expeditionary military operations into areas where our vital interests are
clearly not involved.